
← Deep Values: Value Investing Deep DivesNeu · 45 Min.
Palantir Technologies (PLTR) — Bearish? Palantir at $428.6B: The Risks Hidden in Footnotes
<p>Bearish on Palantir Technologies (PLTR) as of 2026-11-03: $428.6B market value. We strip Palantir's record quarter down to true owner earnings, from a 1.2% tax rate to one unnamed client behind 27% of receivables. At a $428.6 billion valuation, those footnotes decide whether any margin of safety is left.</p><p><br></p><p>Chapters</p><p>(0:00) Priced for Perfection to Infinity</p><p>(3:30) What Would Make This Thesis Wrong</p><p>(4:11) Priced for Perfection to Infinity</p><p>(4:53) Moat Trajectory: WIDENING</p><p>(9:32) Non-GAAP Reconciliation Autopsy</p><p>(14:08) Implied Price vS.Intrinsic Value</p><p>(15:26) Forensic Footnote Leager (Part 1)</p><p>(18:54) Forensic Footnote Ledger (Part 2)</p><p>(20:12) Non-GAAP Reconciliation Autopsy</p><p>(22:51) Forensic Footnote Leager (Part 1)</p><p>(27:24) Capital Allocation & Candour</p><p>(28:22) The Forensic Ledger: Operational vs.</p><p>(29:25) Non-GAAP Reconciliation Autopsy</p><p>(30:50) Moat Trajectory: WIDENING</p><p>(35:18) Capital Allocation & Candour</p><p>(38:42) What Would Make This Thesis Wrong</p><p>(39:59) Implied Price vS.Intrinsic Value</p><p>(40:39) OVERVALUED</p><p>(42:02) Implied Price vS.Intrinsic Value</p><p>(42:42) OVERVALUED</p><p>(44:36) Get the free apps</p><p><br></p><p>Full open-source research report: <a href="https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-11-03-palantir-q3-2026-earnings-financial-research/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=pltr">https://research.deepvalues.ai/insights/2026-11-03-palantir-q3-2026-earnings-financial-research/?utm_source=spotify&utm_medium=description&utm_campaign=company&utm_content=pltr</a></p><p><br></p><p>DeepValues toolkit</p><p>• Run the numbers on any stock yourself, free: <a href="https://app.deepvalues.ai/?ref=podcast&src=palantir_stock_valuation_and_hidden_financia-en">https://app.deepvalues.ai/?ref=podcast&src=palantir_stock_valuation_and_hidden_financia-en</a></p><p>• Free Margin of Safety Weekly, every Saturday (guru moves, market temperature, the week's research; no account needed): <a href="https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=pltr">https://app.deepvalues.ai/letter?src=spotify&ref=pltr</a></p><p>• DeepValues for iOS, intrinsic value and margin of safety for any stock: <a href="https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608">https://apps.apple.com/us/app/deepvalues/id6775568608</a></p><p>• DeepValues for Android: <a href="ht