FPL Draft - What The Underlying Stats REALLY Tell Us

We are ten Premier League gameweeks into the season – but are the results telling us the full story?

In this international break special, we go beyond the league table and do a deep dive into the underlying statistics from the opening ten gameweeks of the 2026/27 season to uncover the teams, players and trends that could help to shape your FPL Draft season.

From expected goals (xG) and expected goals conceded (xGC) to expected points (xPTS), attacking threat and defensive contributions (DEFCON), we're separating genuine performance from good fortune.

🔍 IN THIS EPISODE:

⚽ Premier League xG Analysis – Manchester City lead the way, but who are the sides at the WRONG end of the table, who should be challenging for Europe?  

🛡️ Defensive Data Revealed – Arsenal dominate the underlying defensive numbers, but which other Premier League teams should FPL Draft managers be targeting for clean sheets?

📊 Expected Points vs Reality – Who are the sides that are significantly underperforming their xPTS, and is it time to place our faith in their assets?

🔥 FPL Draft Player Targets – We spotlight kep waiver options ahead of Gameweek 11, including Murillo, Andy Robertson, Pedro Neto, Alex Iwobi, Florian Wirtz and Exequiel Palacios. 

🎯 Attacking Threat & xGI Leaders – Erling Haaland is predictably top of the pile, but if you a Manchester United attacker, is it time to keep the faith?  We examine expected goal involvements, shots on target and chance creation.

💪 DEFCON – Which players are consistently delivering defensive contribution points, and should you overlook the team they play for if they’re regularly bringing home a four pointer?  

Whether you're looking for FPL Draft waiver wire targets, potential breakout players, undervalued assets or long-term transfer opportunities, this episode is packed with data-driven insights to help you get ahead of your rivals.

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